Wednesday, February 22, 2017
What To Do?
Short-term bears should stand aside or stay short stocks with relative weakness. We are continuing to hold some shorts as there is many stocks showing relative weakness. We actually added a short today.
Short-term bulls should stand aside.
Intermediate & Long Term:
Intermediate and long term positions to the upside should be maintained.
There are no intermediate or long term opportunities to the downside.
Short Term: Up
Intermediate Term: Up
Long Term: Neutral
The stock market, as measured by the Wyckoff Wave opened slightly higher, rallied further into mid session, then pulled back to almost unchanged for the day. Volume was as same as Tuesday. The price spread and volume show slight demand still present.
The Technometer is still at an overbought level of 55.. This should provide some slowing of the rally, but so far the market has preceded to continued slightly higher the last two days.
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were both down slightly today.
A review of the intra-day waves shows the Wave opening slightly higher, and then closing slightly higher on the day. The O-P continues to trend higher and leading the rally to the upside as it has for the past two week. The Wyckoff Wave has now taken out the highs at “Z”, and replaced the divergence with the O-P, with inharmonious action.
The Force Index closed slightly lower today and is posting a positive reading of 112. This is allowing the Wave to continue to push higher.
On Thursday, the Technometer will open once again in an extreme overbought reading, and could possibly slow the rally.
The rally of the last two weeks has surprised us, but volume has not increased dramatically nor price spread. The divergence between the O-P and Wave has been eliminated, but there would still be inharmonious action in place. With the extreme overbought Technometer reading in place, we still want to see how the Wyckoff Wave trades in the coming days. We would like to see a few days of correction to see how our Wyckoff indicators react.
Bonds have traded sideways the last two days and we still expect higher prices.